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2026 State of Fraud Report: Fraud Trends and AI-Powered Fraud Insights

This report analyzes the most significant fraud trends of 2026, with a special focus on how artificial intelligence is accelerating fraud across the ecommerce ecosystem. The early 2026 data shows how quickly it is spreading: Fraud pressure in North America alone grew 33% year over year in the first four months of 2026, according to Signifyd data.

This report offers insight into rising fraud trends across the customer journey (from account takeover to post-purchase abuse) and explores regional risks in North America, Europe, the UK and Latin America.

RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

M+

Unique digital wallets held by consumers shopping across the Commerce Network

s

Online merchants’ transaction data analyzed within the Commerce Network

Regions

North America, Latin America, Europe and the UK

Real Time

Evolving fraud intelligence, charting the dynamic nature of fraud in the AI age

Humans are the newest fraud attack vector

Automated social engineering has made people the latest attack surface. The tools allow each link in the fraud supply chain to work at a scale and speed never before possible.

“AI-enabled synthetic content is becoming increasingly difficult to detect.”

FBI’s Internet Crime Report 2025

Con artists who rely on phishing, smishing, vishing and quishing can acquire personal information faster than ever. And deepfakes using gen AI make these attacks even more convincing. Criminals can impersonate victims' loved ones in video calls or voice messages, creating scenarios that feel authentic enough to trick people into handing over credentials or financial information.

The volume of attacks reflects the ease of execution. Nearly 200,000 people fell victim to phishing scams last year, costing them $215.8 million, according to the FBI's latest cybercrime report.

Fraud is now a connected supply chain

In 2026, each fraud scheme is part of an integrated criminal ecosystem, and democratized AI has wired the pieces together into a single supply chain of misery.

Before fraudsters can use their haul, they need to know what's valid. Lightning-fast, AI-powered carding attacks now certify in moments whether stolen credentials are ready for fraudulent purchases. In fact, data from Signifyd's Commerce Network shows that AI is accelerating the validation process at a massive scale: Card-testing attacks rose 175% year-over-year between Jan. – April in 2026.

+175%

Card-testing attack increase

(Jan. – April 2026 vs. Jan. – April 2025)
Source: Signifyd data

Once validated, the stolen information fuels account takeover fraud, synthetic identities and fraudulent purchases. With account takeover, fraudsters break into aged accounts, shielded by trustworthy account history, and purchase goods with stored payment methods or drain loyalty points. Deepfakes help put convincing faces and voices to synthetic identities, making them harder to detect. Professional-grade fake websites spring up to sell stolen goods and harvest the next round of credentials. Then the cycle starts again.

BOPIS fraud is picking up

BOPIS (buy online, pick up in store) schemes involving mules are flourishing. Signifyd data found that BOPIS fraud rose 65% in the first third of 2026.

+65%

BOPIS fraud increase

(Jan. – April 2026 vs. Jan. – April 2025)
Source: Signifyd data

Typically, in these schemes, online orders for large volumes of little-scrutinized items are picked up and later returned for store credit. The freshly laundered store credit is used to avoid fraud review when it's applied to purchase highly fenceable items — think a houseful of smoke detectors exchanged for expensive, easily resellable power tools.

STATE OF FRAUD 2026

Read the State of Fraud 2026 report to get ahead of today’s ecommerce fraud trends

Download the full report for the complete data, industry trends, regional breakdowns and true-crime case studies.

ecommerce fraud trends Report Book